Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.6kResolution: 13 November 2026
Events
Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$649.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline resume operations by 31 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.2kActual outcome: NoWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$642.6kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$619.8kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$575.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$568.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $60,000 or below in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$568.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$558.8kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$530.4kResolution: 12 November 2026Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$514.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Republican candidate win the Nebraska U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$487.5kResolution: 4 November 2026Will WTI Crude Oil Hit $100 a Barrel in October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$478.7kActual outcome: YesWill Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
57%
price $0.57
Does not happen
43%
price $0.43
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$465.0kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by 31 October 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$462.7kActual outcome: NoWill a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$429.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$427.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$418.6kResolution: 31 October 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio governor race?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$414.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Nevada governor election?
Happens
67%
price $0.67
Does not happen
33%
price $0.33
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
45%
price $0.45
Does not happen
55%
price $0.55
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$410.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$409.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the US and Iran hold another senior-level diplomatic meeting by 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$356.7kResolution: 31 October 2026Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$343.0kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Ethereum's price dip to $2,100 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$337.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Anthropic Release a Fable Model (Version 5.2 or Higher) by 31 October 2026?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$306.3kActual outcome: NoWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$296.6kResolution: 27 October 2026Will the United States announce a ban on diesel exports by 31 October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$276.6kActual outcome: NoWill Nvidia be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 October 2026?
Happens
79%
price $0.79
Does not happen
21%
price $0.21
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$225.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$187.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$174.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$167.2kActual outcome: NoWill the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Michigan governor race?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$166.2kResolution: 4 November 2026