0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$17.41mResolution: 3 November 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
48%
price $0.48
Does not happen
52%
price $0.52
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$10.96mResolution: 4 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
51%
price $0.51
Does not happen
49%
price $0.49
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$10.72mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 30 September 2026 Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.57mResolution: 10 October 2026Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.73mResolution: 3 November 2026Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.62mResolution: 3 November 2026Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.92mResolution: 3 November 2026Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 3 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$803.5kResolution: 3 November 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$696.2kResolution: 3 November 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
60%
price $0.60
Does not happen
40%
price $0.40
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$443.1kResolution: 3 November 2026Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$311.3kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$256.5kResolution: 3 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$176.0kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$159.4kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
61%
price $0.61
Does not happen
39%
price $0.39
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$138.7kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Likud win the most seats in Israel's 2026 election?
Happens
39%
price $0.39
Does not happen
61%
price $0.61
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$138.6kResolution: 27 October 2026Will the Parti Quรฉbรฉcois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec election?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$123.9kResolution: 5 October 2026Will Christine Frรฉchette become Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$78.6kResolution: 5 October 2026