0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
91%
price $0.91
Does not happen
9%
price $0.09
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$38.92mResolution: 4 November 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
67%
price $0.67
Does not happen
33%
price $0.33
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$13.11mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 April 2027- 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.08mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.62mResolution: 19 April 2027 Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
32%
price $0.32
Does not happen
68%
price $0.68
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.39mResolution: 4 November 2026Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.28mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.61mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.37mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Mitch McConnell leave the Senate before his term ends?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.82mResolution: 4 January 2027Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.68mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.52mResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.15mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 4 November 2026Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$860.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Miguel Dรญaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$782.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$779.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Republican candidate win the Nebraska U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$559.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio governor race?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$558.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Nevada governor election?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$554.5kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$552.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Pedro Sรกnchez cease to be Prime Minister of Spain by 31 December 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$518.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$465.8kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$352.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Missouri enact a statewide data center moratorium by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$285.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$283.9kResolution: 25 October 2027Will Republicans win the Mississippi U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$268.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Trump Announce a New White House Press Secretary by the End of 2026?
Happens
66%
price $0.66
Does not happen
34%
price $0.34
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$267.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Oklahoma enact a statewide data center moratorium by 30 June 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$249.2kResolution: 1 July 2027