0 pp
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$21.15mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.62mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.24mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by 31 December 2026?
Happens
39%
price $0.39
Does not happen
61%
price $0.61
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kActual outcome: No Will Israel withdraw its ground forces from beyond the Litani River in Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$510.7kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$225.8kActual outcome: No