0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.45mResolution: 1 March 2027
Events
- 0 pp
Will Claude be the top-ranked AI model on LM Arena at the end of 2026?
Happens
67%
price $0.67
Does not happen
33%
price $0.33
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.04mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$764.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
58%
price $0.58
Does not happen
42%
price $0.42
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$242.4kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$223.4kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$128.1kActual outcome: No