0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.50mResolution: 1 March 2027
Events
- 0 pp
Will Claude be the top-ranked AI model on LM Arena at the end of 2026?
Happens
45%
price $0.45
Does not happen
55%
price $0.55
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.22mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
79%
price $0.79
Does not happen
21%
price $0.21
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$276.4kResolution: 31 December 2026