0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$28.72mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$12.45mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$11.21mResolution: 26 October 2026Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.31mResolution: 4 November 2026