0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law in the United States before 1 January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.34mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court by 31 December 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.24mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$402.7kActual outcome: No Will Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$174.8kActual outcome: No