0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.74mResolution: 3 November 2026
Events
- −0.3 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.23mResolution: 4 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Republicans control both the House and Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.31mResolution: 1 February 2027 - +10.7 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.61mResolution: 3 November 2026 - +0.1 pp
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for governor of Florida in 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.37mResolution: 3 November 2026 - −3 pp
Will Mitch McConnell resign from the Senate before the 2026 midterms?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.32mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.17mResolution: 1 August 2026 - 0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law in the United States before 1 January 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before 1 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$641.7kResolution: 1 August 2026 - 0 pp
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$600.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the US government take a stake in Spirit Airlines in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$291.0kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$264.8kResolution: 1 January 2027