0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$42.44mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the WHO declare a hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$18.71mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will GameStop Acquire eBay Before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.77mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will the US record at least 10,000 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.53mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before the end of 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.72mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.26mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US government confirm that aliens exist by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.11mResolution: 1 November 2026Will the U.S. have at least 12,500 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$359.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US report at least 5,000 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$339.0kResolution: 1 January 2027