Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed to shipping by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.67mActual outcome: No
Events
Will Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline resume operations by 31 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.2kActual outcome: NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by 31 October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$501.9kActual outcome: No