0 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$26.52mResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
- 0 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$22.25mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$20.07mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$15.38mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.47mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$11.45mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
29%
price $0.29
Does not happen
71%
price $0.71
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.77mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.53mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.55mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.43mActual outcome: Yes Will Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin move in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.86mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Ethereum fall to $1,500 or lower before the end of 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.46mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.89mResolution: 1 September 2026Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.70mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.6kActual outcome: Yes- 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$593.0kActual outcome: Yes Will Ethereum's price dip to $1,800 or below in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$355.3kActual outcome: YesWill Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,000 at any point in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$341.0kActual outcome: YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$281.9kResolution: 1 September 2026Will Bitcoin Fall to $70,000 or Below in August 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 September 2026Will Tempo launch a governance token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$176.4kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$148.9kResolution: 1 January 2027