0 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$33.78mResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$24.40mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$22.62mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$20.35mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$20.33mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.77mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$13.96mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.90mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.67mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.57mActual outcome: Yes Will Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin move in 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.31mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Ethereum fall to $1,500 or lower before the end of 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.23mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.84mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October 2026?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$857.2kResolution: 1 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
37%
price $0.37
Does not happen
63%
price $0.63
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$729.3kActual outcome: Yes Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$642.6kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Ethereum reach a new all-time high price by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$631.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$619.8kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$575.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $60,000 or below in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$568.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$558.8kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Ledger complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$515.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$514.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$427.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
45%
price $0.45
Does not happen
55%
price $0.55
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$410.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will MicroStrategy (Strategy) announce holding 1 million or more Bitcoin by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$345.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ethereum's price dip to $2,100 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$337.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will MetaMask launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$336.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) be listed for spot trading on Binance in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$264.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Tempo launch a governance token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$177.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Consensys IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$171.5kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$157.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Solana (SOL) reach $120 by December 31, 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$106.2kActual outcome: Yes